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Finished · Coupe de France
Marseille
2 : 2
Toulouse
Match info
Status
Finished (pens)
Date
2026/03/04 · 20:00
Round
Quarter-final
Stadium
Orange Velodrome — Marseille
Referee
J. Pignard
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Marseille at 40%, and the likeliest scorer is A. Gouiri (54%).
Marseille 40% Draw 27% Toulouse 33%
Marseille 0% Draw 0% Toulouse 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Marseille 0% Draw 100% Toulouse 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
A. Gouiri
🏠 Marseille
54%
M. Greenwood
🏠 Marseille
28%
P. Aubameyang
🏠 Marseille
19%
Team comparison API-Football
Marseille Toulouse
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
75%
H2H
50%Strength50%
78%Attacking strength22%
100%Defensive strength0%
100%Poisson distribution0%
75%Head-to-head25%
59%Expected goals41%
50%
Team strength
25%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Winner : Marseille
Head-to-head Last 8
5Marseille win
3Draw
0Toulouse win
2025/11/29 Marseille 2 : 2 Toulouse
2025/04/06 Marseille 3 : 2 Toulouse
2024/08/31 Toulouse 1 : 3 Marseille
2024/04/21 Toulouse 2 : 2 Marseille
2023/09/17 Marseille 0 : 0 Toulouse
2023/02/19 Toulouse 2 : 3 Marseille
2022/12/29 Marseille 6 : 1 Toulouse
2020/02/08 Marseille 1 : 0 Toulouse
Key events
⚽M. Greenwood
Goal (Penalty)
2'
🟨Himad Abdelli
Yellow Card
11'
⚽Y. Gboho
goals
13'
🟨Mason Greenwood
Yellow Card
35'
🟨Emersonn
Yellow Card
37'
🔄E. Nwaneri⟵H. Abdelli
Substitution
46'
⚽I. PaixaoAssists G. Kondogbia
goals
56'
🔄B. Nadir⟵A. Vermeeren
Substitution
58'
⚽C. CresswellAssists A. Donnum
goals
60'
🔄W. Kamanzi⟵C. Cresswell
Substitution
65'
🔄J. Russell-Rowe⟵Emersonn
Substitution
83'
🟨Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Yellow Card
90'
🔄H. J. Traore⟵I. Paixao
Substitution
90'
Lineup
1
G. Rulli 7.9
32
F. Medina 6.2
21
N. Aguerd 7.2
5
L. Balerdi 6.2
22
T. Weah 6.5
18
▾
A. Vermeeren 6.3
19
G. Kondogbia 7.9
14
⚽ ▾
I. Paixao 7.7
8
▾
H. Abdelli 6.2
10
⚽
M. Greenwood 8.2
17
P. Aubameyang 7
16
K. Haug 7.2
24
D. Methalie 6.2
2
R. Nicolaisen 5.7
4
⚽ ▾
C. Cresswell 7.2
3
M. McKenzie 7
19
D. Sidibe 7
10
⚽
Y. Gboho 7.3
18
P. Demba 7.7
23
C. Casseres 6.7
15
A. Donnum 7.9
20
▾
Emersonn 6
Marseille 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲11 5.6 E. Nwaneri ▾ H. Abdelli 58′ ▲26 6.7 B. Nadir ▾ A. Vermeeren 90′ ▲20 H. J. Traore ▾ I. Paixao
Coaching staff
Habib Beye Manager
Bench
12 J. De Lange GK 4 C. Egan-Riley DEF 33 Emerson DEF 28 B. Pavard DEF 6 T. Nnadi MID 78 E. Lago FWD
Toulouse 5-4-1
Substitutes
65′ ▲12 6.9 W. Kamanzi ▾ C. Cresswell 83′ ▲13 6.5 J. Russell-Rowe ▾ Emersonn
Coaching staff
Carles Martinez Manager
Bench
1 G. Restes GK 35 S. Koumbassa DEF 44 G. Bakhouche Piernas DEF 45 A. Vossah MID 77 M. Sauer MID 7 J. Vignolo FWD 11 S. Hidalgo FWD
Player rating API-Football
Marseille
10
Mason Greenwood
MID · 90′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
8.2
1
Gerónimo Rulli
GK · 90′
7.9
19
Geoffrey Kondogbia
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.9
14
Igor Paixão
MID · 89′ · ⚽1
7.7
21
Nayef Aguerd
DEF · 90′
7.2
17
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
FWD · 90′
7
26
Bilal Nadir
MID · 32′ · Substitute
6.7
22
Timothy Weah
DEF · 90′
6.5
18
Arthur Vermeeren
MID · 58′
6.3
5
Leonardo Balerdi C
DEF · 90′
6.2
32
Facundo Medina
DEF · 90′
6.2
8
Himad Abdelli
MID · 45′ · 🟨
6.2
11
Ethan Nwaneri
MID · 45′ · Substitute
5.6
20
Hamed Junior Traorè
MID · 1′ · Substitute
—
12
Jeffrey de Lange
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
28
Benjamin Pavard
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
33
Emerson Palmieri
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
6
Tochukwu Nnadi
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
78
Ange Lago
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Toulouse
15
Aron Dønnum
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.9
18
Pape Diop
MID · 90′
7.7
10
Yann Gboho
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
7.3
16
Kjetil Haug
GK · 90′
7.2
4
Charlie Cresswell
DEF · 65′ · ⚽1
7.2
19
Djibril Sidibé
DEF · 90′
7
3
Mark McKenzie
DEF · 90′
7
12
Warren Kamanzi
DEF · 25′ · Substitute
6.9
23
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
13
Jacen Russell-Rowe
FWD · 12′ · Substitute
6.5
24
Dayann Methalie
DEF · 90′
6.2
20
Emersonn
FWD · 83′ · 🟨
6
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen C
DEF · 90′
5.7
1
Guillaume Restes
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
44
Gaëtan Bakhouche
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
35
Seny Koumbassa
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
77
Mario Sauer
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
45
Alexis Vossah
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Julian Vignolo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
11
Santiago Hidalgo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Marseille × Toulouse
21% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
62% Possession
Marseille Toulouse
14Shots11
3Shots on Target6
6Shots off Target3
5Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
514Passes317
448Accurate Passes257
6Corners6
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper saves1
14Tackles11
12Interceptions7
2Blocks (defensive)5
43Duels Won47
9Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
55% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
38% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Marseille
Mason Greenwood
3
Timothy Weah
2
Geoffrey Kondogbia
2
Igor Paixão
1
Bilal Nadir
1
Toulouse
Aron Dønnum
4
Djibril Sidibé
1
Rasmus Nicolaisen
1
Dayann Methalie
1
Yann Gboho
1
Emersonn
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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