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Finished · Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad
2 : 2
Osasuna
Match info
Status
Finished (pens)
Date
2026/01/13 · 20:00
Round
Round of 16
Stadium
Reale Arena — San Sebastian
Referee
César Soto Grado
AI predictionExpected goals 2.0 : 0.9
🧠 The model favours Real Sociedad at 60%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is Mikel Oyarzabal (10%).
Real Sociedad 60% Draw 22% Osasuna 18%
Real Sociedad 0% Draw 0% Osasuna 0%
0 votes
Confidence 89% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Real Sociedad 📉 Poor form Real Sociedad 📉 Poor form Osasuna
Most likely score 1 - 0 11%
Both teams to score 51% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 55%
Over 2.5 55%Under 2.5 45%
Win Probability
100%
Real Sociedad 0% Draw 100% Osasuna 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Mikel Oyarzabal
🏠 Real Sociedad
10%
Raúl García
✈️ Osasuna
8%
Beñat Turrientes
🏠 Real Sociedad
7%
Team comparison API-Football
Real Sociedad Osasuna
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
60%
H2H
50%Strength50%
33%Attacking strength67%
83%Defensive strength17%
0%Poisson distribution0%
60%Head-to-head40%
62%Expected goals38%
50%
Team strength
40%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 8
4Real Sociedad win
0Draw
4Osasuna win
2025/11/22 Osasuna 1 : 3 Real Sociedad
2025/10/09 Real Sociedad 2 : 0 Osasuna
2025/02/06 Real Sociedad 2 : 0 Osasuna
2025/02/02 Osasuna 2 : 1 Real Sociedad
2024/10/27 Real Sociedad 0 : 2 Osasuna
2024/07/31 Real Sociedad 1 : 2 Osasuna
2024/02/10 Real Sociedad 0 : 1 Osasuna
2024/01/17 Osasuna 0 : 2 Real Sociedad
Key events
🟨Sergio Herrera
Yellow Card
-5'
⚽J. Moncayola
goals
4'
🥅M. Oyarzabal
Own Goal
17'
🟨Jon Moncayola
Yellow Card
43'
🔄B. Turrientes⟵J. Gorrotxategi
Substitution
55'
🔄A. Zakharyan⟵A. Barrenetxea
Substitution
55'
🟨Jorge Herrando
Yellow Card
58'
🔄V. Rosier⟵I. Arguibide
Substitution
63'
🔄J. Galan⟵K. Barja
Substitution
63'
🟨Raúl García de Haro
Yellow Card
68'
🔄R. Garcia⟵M. Gomez
Substitution
71'
🔄G. Guedes⟵L. Sucic
Substitution
74'
🔄A. Odriozola⟵J. Aramburu
Substitution
74'
⚽B. Turrientes
goals
75'
🟨Takefusa Kubo
Yellow Card
77'
🔄L. Torro⟵I. Munoz
Substitution
85'
🔄A. Catena⟵J. Cruz
Substitution
85'
🔄O. Oskarsson⟵D. Caleta-Car
Substitution
89'
⚽I. Zubeldia
goals
90'
🔄J. Martin⟵
Substitution
91'
🔄A. Budimir⟵R. Garcia
Substitution
99'
📺Álvaro Odriozola
Penalty confirmed
105'
🟨Ante Budimir
Yellow Card
120'
Lineup
13
U. Marrero 9.9
17
S. Gomez 7.6
16
▾
D. Caleta-Car 6.7
5
⚽
I. Zubeldia 7.7
2
▾
J. Aramburu 7.3
7
▾
A. Barrenetxea 6.3
18
C. Soler 7.3
4
▾
J. Gorrotxategi 6.3
14
T. Kubo 7.2
10
⚽
M. Oyarzabal 5.9
24
▾
L. Sucic 6.6
13
A. Fernandez 8.2
3
▾
J. Cruz 6.3
5
J. Herrando 6.3
22
F. Boyomo 6.6
41
▾
I. Arguibide 6.7
7
⚽
J. Moncayola 7.2
8
▾
I. Munoz 7.2
11
▾
K. Barja 6.5
16
▾
M. Gomez 5.9
23
A. Bretones 7.2
9
▾
R. Garcia 6.6
Real Sociedad 4-4-2
Substitutes
55′ ▲8 9 B. Turrientes ▾ J. Gorrotxategi 55′ ▲21 6.5 A. Zakharyan ▾ A. Barrenetxea 74′ ▲11 6.9 G. Guedes ▾ L. Sucic 74′ ▲20 7.6 A. Odriozola ▾ J. Aramburu 89′ ▲9 O. Oskarsson ▾ D. Caleta-Car 91′ ▲31 6.9 J. Martin
Coaching staff
Pellegrino Matarazzo Manager
Bench
1 A. Remiro GK 3 A. Munoz DEF 6 A. Elustondo DEF 23 B. Mendez MID 28 P. Marin MID
Osasuna 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
63′ ▲19 6.2 V. Rosier ▾ I. Arguibide 63′ ▲20 6.3 J. Galan ▾ K. Barja 71′ ▲14 6.7 R. Garcia ▾ M. Gomez 85′ ▲6 7.5 L. Torro ▾ I. Munoz 85′ ▲24 6.3 A. Catena ▾ J. Cruz 99′ ▲17 6.9 A. Budimir ▾ R. Garcia
Coaching staff
Alessio Lisci Manager
Bench
1 S. Herrera GK 10 A. Oroz MID 18 S. Becker FWD 21 V. Munoz FWD 29 A. Osambela MID
Player rating API-Football
Real Sociedad
13
Unai Marrero
GK · 120′
9.9
8
Beñat Turrientes
MID · 65′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
9
5
Igor Zubeldia
DEF · 120′ · ⚽1
7.7
17
Sergio Gómez
DEF · 120′
7.6
20
Álvaro Odriozola
DEF · 46′ · Substitute
7.6
2
Jon Aramburu
DEF · 74′
7.3
18
Carlos Soler
MID · 120′
7.3
14
Takefusa Kubo
MID · 120′ · 🟨
7.2
11
Gonçalo Guedes
FWD · 46′ · Substitute
6.9
31
Jon Martin
DEF · 29′ · Substitute
6.9
16
Duje Ćaleta-Car
DEF · 89′
6.7
24
Luka Sučić
FWD · 74′
6.6
21
Arsen Zakharyan
MID · 65′ · Substitute
6.5
4
Jon Gorrotxategi
MID · 55′
6.3
7
Ander Barrenetxea
MID · 55′
6.3
10
Mikel Oyarzabal C
FWD · 120′
5.9
9
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
FWD · 2′ · Substitute
—
Osasuna
13
Aitor Fernández
GK · 120′
8.2
6
Lucas Torró
MID · 35′ · Substitute
7.5
8
Iker Muñoz
MID · 85′
7.2
7
Jon Moncayola
MID · 120′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.2
23
Abel Bretones
MID · 120′
7.2
17
Ante Budimir
FWD · 21′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.9
41
Iñigo Arguibide
DEF · 63′
6.7
14
Rubén García
MID · 49′ · Substitute
6.7
22
Flavien Boyomo
DEF · 120′
6.6
9
Raúl García de Haro
FWD · 99′ · 🟨
6.6
11
Kike Barja C
MID · 63′
6.5
5
Jorge Herrando
DEF · 120′ · 🟨
6.3
3
Juan Cruz
DEF · 85′
6.3
20
Javi Galán
DEF · 57′ · Substitute
6.3
24
Alejandro Catena
DEF · 35′ · Substitute
6.3
19
Valentin Rosier
DEF · 57′ · Substitute
6.2
16
Moi Gómez
MID · 71′
5.9
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Real Sociedad × Osasuna
30% Shot Accuracy
84% Pass Accuracy
69% Possession
Real Sociedad Osasuna
3.65Expected Goals (xG)0.78
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
30Shots13
9Shots on Target5
16Shots off Target2
20Shots Inside Box6
10Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots6
753Passes346
636Accurate Passes230
7Corners3
2Offsides3
4Goalkeeper saves8
17Tackles22
12Interceptions12
6Blocks (defensive)5
76Duels Won62
13Fouls21
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
38% Shot Accuracy
66% Pass Accuracy
31% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Real Sociedad
Sergio Gómez
3
Takefusa Kubo
3
Carlos Soler
3
Mikel Oyarzabal
3
Ander Barrenetxea
2
Beñat Turrientes
2
Osasuna
Abel Bretones
2
Jon Moncayola
1
Kike Barja
1
Raúl García de Haro
1
Javi Galán
1
Rubén García
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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