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Finished · Copa del Rey
Alaves
2 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/01/14 · 20:00
Round
Round of 16
Stadium
Estadio Mendizorrotza — Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee
Francisco Hernandez Maeso
AI predictionExpected goals 1.5 : 1.1
🧠 The model favours Alaves at 47%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is Carlos Vicente (10%).
🤖 AI won
Alaves 47% Draw 26% Rayo Vallecano 27%
Alaves 0% Draw 0% Rayo Vallecano 0%
0 votes
Confidence 63% Medium confidence
📈 In great form Rayo Vallecano
Most likely score 1 - 1 12%
Both teams to score 52% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Under 52%
Over 2.5 48%Under 2.5 52%
Win Probability
100%
Alaves 100% Draw 0% Rayo Vallecano 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Carlos Vicente
🏠 Alaves
10%
Toni Martínez
🏠 Alaves
10%
Álvaro García
✈️ Rayo Vallecano
5%
Team comparison API-Football
Alaves Rayo Vallecano
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
20%
H2H
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking strength50%
100%Defensive strength0%
100%Poisson distribution0%
20%Head-to-head80%
14%Expected goals86%
50%
Team strength
80%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Alaves or draw
Head-to-head Last 8
2Alaves win
0Draw
6Rayo Vallecano win
2025/10/26 Rayo Vallecano 1 : 0 Alaves
2025/03/29 Alaves 0 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
2024/10/26 Rayo Vallecano 1 : 0 Alaves
2024/03/10 Alaves 1 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
2023/09/15 Rayo Vallecano 2 : 0 Alaves
2022/04/16 Alaves 1 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
2021/12/18 Rayo Vallecano 2 : 0 Alaves
2019/01/28 Alaves 0 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
Key events
🟨Calebe Gonçalves
Yellow Card
3'
🟨Fran Pérez
Yellow Card
35'
🟨Carlos Benavídez
Yellow Card
36'
🔄P. Chavarria⟵S. Camello
Substitution
40'
🔄A. Garcia⟵I. Balliu
Substitution
40'
⚽T. Martinez
goals
49'
🔄I. Palazon⟵O. Trejo
Substitution
61'
🔄J. de Frutos⟵R. Nteka
Substitution
62'
🔄C. Vicente⟵Calebe
Substitution
64'
🔄C. Alena⟵A. Rebbach
Substitution
64'
🔄J. Guridi⟵T. Martinez
Substitution
64'
🟨Ander Guevara
Yellow Card
65'
🟥Isi Palazón
Red Card
69'
🔄Alemao⟵F. Perez
Substitution
83'
🔄A. Blanco⟵A. Manas
Substitution
85'
⚽C. Vicente
goals
89'
🔄Jonny Otto⟵Yusi
Substitution
90+1'
Lineup
13
R. Fernandez 7.7
3
▾
Yusi 7
5
J. Pacheco 7.2
23
C. Protesoni 6.9
14
N. Tenaglia 7.6
21
▾
A. Rebbach 7.3
6
A. Guevara 7
4
D. Suarez 7.7
20
▾
Calebe 6.9
11
⚽ ▾
T. Martinez 7.7
34
▾
A. Manas
1
D. Cardenas 7
22
Pacha 6.2
32
N. Mendy 6.9
24
F. Lejeune 7.2
20
▾
I. Balliu 7
15
G. Gumbau 6.3
23
O. Valentin 6.6
10
▾
S. Camello 6.9
8
▾
O. Trejo 6
21
▾
F. Perez 6.9
11
▾
R. Nteka 6.3
Alaves 4-4-2
Substitutes
64′ ▲7 7.9 C. Vicente ▾ Calebe 64′ ▲10 6.3 C. Alena ▾ A. Rebbach 64′ ▲18 6.3 J. Guridi ▾ T. Martinez 85′ ▲8 6.7 A. Blanco ▾ A. Manas 90′ ▲17 Jonny Otto ▾ Yusi
Coaching staff
Eduardo Coudet Manager
Bench
1 A. Sivera GK 31 G. Swiderski GK 19 P. Ibanez MID 24 V. Parada DEF 29 D. Morcillo FWD 30 C. Ballestero DEF
Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
40′ ▲3 6 P. Chavarria ▾ S. Camello 40′ ▲18 7 A. Garcia ▾ I. Balliu 61′ ▲7 4.9 I. Palazon ▾ O. Trejo 62′ ▲19 6.3 J. de Frutos ▾ R. Nteka 83′ ▲9 6.7 Alemao ▾ F. Perez
Coaching staff
Inigo Perez Manager
Bench
13 A. Batalla GK 40 A. Molina GK 4 P. Diaz MID 14 C. Martin FWD 26 M. de las Sias DEF 33 J. Vertrouwd DEF
Player rating API-Football
Alaves
7
Carlos Vicente
FWD · 26′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.9
13
Raúl Fernández
GK · 90′
7.7
4
Denis Suárez
MID · 90′
7.7
11
Toni Martínez
FWD · 64′ · ⚽1
7.7
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
DEF · 90′
7.6
21
Abderrahman Rebbach
MID · 64′
7.3
5
Jon Pacheco
DEF · 90′
7.2
3
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
DEF · 89′
7
6
Ander Guevara
MID · 90′ · 🟨
7
23
Carlos Benavídez C
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
20
Calebe Gonçalves
MID · 64′ · 🟨
6.9
8
Antonio Blanco
MID · 13′ · Substitute
6.7
10
Carles Aleñá
MID · 26′ · Substitute
6.3
18
Jon Guridi
MID · 26′ · Substitute
6.3
34
Aitor Mañas
FWD · 85′
5.9
17
Jonny Otto
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
—
31
Grégoire Swiderski
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
1
Antonio Sivera
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
24
Victor Parada
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
30
Carlos Ballestero
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
19
Pablo Ibáñez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
29
Diego Morcillo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Rayo Vallecano
24
Florian Lejeune
DEF · 90′
7.2
1
Dani Cárdenas
GK · 90′
7
20
Iván Balliu
DEF · 40′
7
18
Álvaro García
MID · 50′ · Substitute
7
32
Nobel Mendy
DEF · 90′
6.9
21
Fran Pérez
MID · 83′ · 🟨
6.9
10
Sergio Camello
MID · 40′
6.9
9
Alemão
FWD · 15′ · Substitute
6.7
23
Óscar Valentín C
MID · 90′
6.6
15
Gerard Gumbau
MID · 90′
6.3
11
Randy Nteka
FWD · 62′
6.3
19
Jorge de Frutos
FWD · 28′ · Substitute
6.3
22
Alfonso Espino
DEF · 90′
6.2
8
Óscar Trejo
MID · 61′
6
3
Josep Chavarría
DEF · 50′ · Substitute
6
7
Isi Palazón
MID · 8′ 🟥 · Substitute
4.9
40
Adrián Molina
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
13
Augusto Batalla
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
Marco de las Sias
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Pedro Díaz
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
14
Carlos Martín
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Alaves × Rayo Vallecano
58% Shot Accuracy
79% Pass Accuracy
51% Possession
Alaves Rayo Vallecano
12Shots11
7Shots on Target2
2Shots off Target8
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots1
388Passes360
307Accurate Passes263
4Corners8
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper saves5
18Tackles22
4Interceptions4
1Blocks (defensive)3
50Duels Won52
15Fouls13
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
18% Shot Accuracy
73% Pass Accuracy
49% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Alaves
Nahuel Tenaglia
1
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
1
Denis Suárez
1
Abderrahman Rebbach
1
Rayo Vallecano
Gerard Gumbau
2
Álvaro García
2
Nobel Mendy
1
Sergio Camello
1
Josep Chavarría
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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