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Finished · Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid
4 : 0
Barcelona
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/02/12 · 20:00
Round
Semi-final
Stadium
Metropolitano Stadium — Madrid
Referee
J. Martinez
AI predictionExpected goals 2.1 : 1.7
🧠 The model favours Atletico Madrid at 46%, with expected goals 2-2, and the likeliest scorer is A. Griezmann (16%).
🤖 AI won
Atletico Madrid 46% Draw 21% Barcelona 33%
Atletico Madrid 0% Draw 0% Barcelona 0%
0 votes
Confidence 53% Medium confidence
🏠 Strong at home Atletico Madrid ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 2 - 1 8%
Both teams to score 72% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 73%
Over 2.5 73%Under 2.5 27%
Win Probability
100%
Atletico Madrid 100% Draw 0% Barcelona 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
A. Griezmann
🏠 Atletico Madrid
16%
A. Lookman
🏠 Atletico Madrid
10%
J. Álvarez
🏠 Atletico Madrid
7%
Lamine Yamal
✈️ Barcelona
4%
A. Sørloth
🏠 Atletico Madrid
3%
Team comparison API-Football
Atletico Madrid Barcelona
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
29%
H2H
50%Strength50%
60%Attacking strength40%
33%Defensive strength67%
0%Poisson distribution0%
29%Head-to-head71%
41%Expected goals59%
50%
Team strength
71%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Barcelona
Head-to-head Last 5
1Atletico Madrid win
1Draw
3Barcelona win
2025/12/02 Barcelona 3 : 1 Atletico Madrid
2025/04/02 Atletico Madrid 0 : 1 Barcelona
2025/03/16 Atletico Madrid 2 : 4 Barcelona
2025/02/25 Barcelona 4 : 4 Atletico Madrid
2024/12/21 Barcelona 1 : 2 Atletico Madrid
Key events
🥅E. Garcia
Own Goal
6'
⚽A. GriezmannAssists N. Molina
goals
14'
🟨Marc Casadó
Yellow Card
26'
⚽A. LookmanAssists J. Alvarez
goals
33'
🔄R. Lewandowski⟵M. Casado
Substitution
37'
⚽J. AlvarezAssists A. Lookman
goals
45'
🟨Giuliano Simeone
Yellow Card
50'
🟨Marcos Llorente
Yellow Card
51'
📺Pau Cubarsí
Goal cancelled
59'
🔄A. Baena⟵A. Griezmann
Substitution
68'
🔄A. Sorloth⟵J. Alvarez
Substitution
68'
🔄T. Almada⟵A. Lookman
Substitution
73'
🔄J. Cancelo⟵A. Balde
Substitution
77'
🔄R. Araujo⟵P. Cubarsi
Substitution
77'
🟨Alejandro Baena
Yellow Card
79'
🟥Eric García
Red Card
85'
📺Eric García
Card upgrade
85'
🟨Marc Pubill
Yellow Card
86'
🟨Dani Olmo
Yellow Card
86'
🟨Fermín López
Yellow Card
86'
🔄G. Martin⟵Fermín
Substitution
87'
🟨Matteo Ruggeri
Yellow Card
90+8'
🔄R. Le Normand⟵Koke
Substitution
90'
Lineup
1
J. Musso 8.2
3
M. Ruggeri 6.7
17
D. Hancko 7.5
18
M. Pubill 6.7
16
N. Molina 8.9
22
⚽ ▾
A. Lookman 8
6
▾
Koke 6.9
14
M. Llorente 6.6
20
G. Simeone 6.9
19
⚽ ▾
J. Alvarez 7.6
7
⚽ ▾
A. Griezmann 7.9
13
J. Garcia 5.9
3
▾
A. Balde 5.9
24
⚽
E. Garcia 4.9
5
▾
P. Cubarsi 6
23
J. Kounde 8.3
21
F. de Jong 6.6
17
▾
M. Casado 6.3
16
▾
Fermín 6.7
20
D. Olmo 6.9
7
F. Torres 6.2
10
Lamine Yamal 7.3
Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Substitutes
68′ ▲10 6.7 A. Baena ▾ A. Griezmann 68′ ▲9 5.9 A. Sorloth ▾ J. Alvarez 73′ ▲11 7 T. Almada ▾ A. Lookman 90′ ▲24 6.6 R. Le Normand ▾ Koke
Coaching staff
Diego Simeone Manager
Bench
31 S. Esquivel GK 13 J. Oblak GK 2 J. M. Gimenez DEF 15 C. Lenglet DEF 4 R. Mendoza MID 21 O. Vargas MID 23 N. Gonzalez FWD
Barcelona 4-3-3
Substitutes
37′ ▲9 6.3 R. Lewandowski ▾ M. Casado 77′ ▲2 6.6 J. Cancelo ▾ A. Balde 77′ ▲4 6.9 R. Araujo ▾ P. Cubarsi 87′ ▲18 6.6 G. Martin ▾ Fermín
Coaching staff
Hansi Flick Manager
Bench
25 W. Szczesny GK 31 D. Kochen GK 19 R. Bardghji FWD 22 M. Bernal MID 26 J. Torrents DEF 41 J. Hernandez MID 43 T. Marques MID
Player rating API-Football
Atletico Madrid
16
Nahuel Molina
DEF · 90′ · 🅰️1
8.9
1
Juan Musso
GK · 90′
8.2
22
Ademola Lookman
MID · 73′ · ⚽1 · 🅰️1
8
7
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · 68′ · ⚽1
7.9
19
Julián Alvarez
FWD · 68′ · ⚽1 · 🅰️1
7.6
17
Dávid Hancko
DEF · 90′
7.5
11
Thiago Almada
MID · 17′ · Substitute
7
20
Giuliano Simeone
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
6
Koke C
MID · 89′
6.9
18
Marc Pubill
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
3
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
10
Alejandro Baena
MID · 22′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
14
Marcos Llorente
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.6
24
Robin Le Normand
DEF · 11′ · Substitute
6.6
9
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · 22′ · Substitute
5.9
13
Jan Oblak
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
31
Salvi Esquivel
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
15
Clément Lenglet
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
2
José María Giménez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
21
Obed Vargas
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Nicolás González
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Barcelona
23
Jules Koundé
DEF · 90′
8.3
10
Lamine Yamal
FWD · 90′
7.3
20
Dani Olmo
FWD · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
4
Ronald Araújo
DEF · 13′ · Substitute
6.9
16
Fermín López
MID · 87′ · 🟨
6.7
21
Frenkie de Jong C
MID · 90′
6.6
2
João Cancelo
DEF · 13′ · Substitute
6.6
18
Gerard Martín
DEF · 14′ · Substitute
6.6
17
Marc Casadó
MID · 37′ · 🟨
6.3
9
Robert Lewandowski
FWD · 53′ · Substitute
6.3
7
Ferran Torres
FWD · 90′
6.2
5
Pau Cubarsí
DEF · 77′
6
13
Joan García
GK · 90′
5.9
3
Alejandro Balde
DEF · 77′
5.9
24
Eric García
DEF · 85′ 🟥
4.9
25
Wojciech Szczęsny
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
31
Diego Kochen
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
Jofre Torrents 
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
22
Marc Bernal
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
43
Tomás Marqués
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
19
Roony Bardghji
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
41
Juan Hernández
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Atletico Madrid × Barcelona
67% Shot Accuracy
82% Pass Accuracy
34% Possession
Atletico Madrid Barcelona
12Shots14
8Shots on Target4
2Shots off Target6
10Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots4
331Passes648
272Accurate Passes578
5Corners8
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper saves3
17Tackles11
12Interceptions5
4Blocks (defensive)4
36Duels Won46
16Fouls9
5Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
29% Shot Accuracy
89% Pass Accuracy
66% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Atletico Madrid
Nahuel Molina
3
Giuliano Simeone
2
Antoine Griezmann
2
Thiago Almada
2
Marcos Llorente
1
Ademola Lookman
1
Barcelona
Jules Koundé
3
Lamine Yamal
3
Dani Olmo
2
Pau Cubarsí
1
Eric García
1
Marc Casadó
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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