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Finished · Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid
2 : 2
Real Sociedad
Match info
Status
Finished (pens)
Date
2026/04/18 · 19:00
Round
Final
Stadium
Estadio de La Cartuja — Sevilla
Referee
J. Alberola
AI predictionExpected goals 2.6 : 0.9
🧠 The model favours Atletico Madrid at 73%, with expected goals 3-1, and the likeliest scorer is A. Griezmann (19%).
Atletico Madrid 73% Draw 16% Real Sociedad 11%
Atletico Madrid 0% Draw 0% Real Sociedad 0%
0 votes
Confidence 89% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Atletico Madrid 📉 Poor form Real Sociedad ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 2 - 0 10%
Both teams to score 55% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 68%
Over 2.5 68%Under 2.5 32%
Win Probability
100%
Atletico Madrid 0% Draw 100% Real Sociedad 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
A. Griezmann
🏠 Atletico Madrid
19%
A. Lookman
🏠 Atletico Madrid
12%
J. Álvarez
🏠 Atletico Madrid
8%
A. Sørloth
🏠 Atletico Madrid
4%
Mikel Oyarzabal
✈️ Real Sociedad
4%
Beñat Turrientes
✈️ Real Sociedad
3%
Team comparison API-Football
Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
44%
Team strength
85%
H2H
44%Strength56%
57%Attacking strength43%
50%Defensive strength50%
100%Poisson distribution0%
85%Head-to-head15%
73%Expected goals27%
56%
Team strength
15%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw
Head-to-head Last 9
5Atletico Madrid win
3Draw
0Real Sociedad win
2026/03/07 Atletico Madrid 3 : 2 Real Sociedad
2026/01/04 Real Sociedad 1 : 1 Atletico Madrid
2025/05/10 Atletico Madrid 4 : 0 Real Sociedad
2024/10/06 Real Sociedad 1 : 1 Atletico Madrid
2024/05/25 Real Sociedad 0 : 2 Atletico Madrid
2023/10/08 Atletico Madrid 2 : 1 Real Sociedad
2023/08/03 Atletico Madrid 0 : 0 Real Sociedad
2023/08/02 Atletico Madrid - : - Real Sociedad
2023/05/28 Atletico Madrid 2 : 1 Real Sociedad
Key events
⚽A. BarrenetxeaAssists G. Guedes
goals
1'
⚽A. LookmanAssists A. Griezmann
goals
18'
🟨Mikel Oyarzabal
Yellow Card
30'
🟨Robin Le Normand
Yellow Card
33'
🟨Juan Musso
Yellow Card
43'
⚽M. Oyarzabal
Goal (Penalty)
45'
🔄A. Sorloth⟵M. Ruggeri
Substitution
62'
🔄N. Gonzalez⟵A. Lookman
Substitution
62'
🔄J. Gorrotxategi⟵B. Turrientes
Substitution
68'
🔄P. Marin⟵A. Barrenetxea
Substitution
68'
🔄A. Baena⟵G. Simeone
Substitution
70'
🔄T. Almada⟵A. Griezmann
Substitution
70'
🔄J. Cardoso⟵N. Molina
Substitution
78'
🔄O. Oskarsson⟵M. Oyarzabal
Substitution
78'
🔄A. Munoz⟵G. Guedes
Substitution
78'
⚽J. AlvarezAssists T. Almada
goals
83'
🔄T. Kubo⟵S. Gomez
Substitution
88'
🔄C. Lenglet⟵M. Llorente
Substitution
99'
🔄A. Elustondo⟵J. Aramburu
Substitution
113'
🟨Aritz Elustondo
Yellow Card
120+1'
🟨Jon Gorrotxategi
Yellow Card
120'
Lineup
1
J. Musso 6.3
3
▾
M. Ruggeri 6.3
24
R. Le Normand 6.3
18
M. Pubill 6.6
16
▾
N. Molina 6.3
22
⚽ ▾
A. Lookman 8
6
Koke 8.2
14
▾
M. Llorente 7.9
20
▾
G. Simeone 6.5
19
⚽
J. Alvarez 7.9
7
▾
A. Griezmann 6.9
13
U. Marrero 6.3
17
▾
S. Gomez 6
16
D. Caleta-Car 6.7
31
J. Martin 7
2
▾
J. Aramburu 6.9
18
C. Soler 5.9
8
▾
B. Turrientes 6.3
11
▾
G. Guedes 7.3
24
L. Sucic 7
7
⚽ ▾
A. Barrenetxea 7.3
10
⚽ ▾
M. Oyarzabal 7.2
Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Substitutes
62′ ▲9 5.3 A. Sorloth ▾ M. Ruggeri 62′ ▲23 7.3 N. Gonzalez ▾ A. Lookman 70′ ▲10 6.7 A. Baena ▾ G. Simeone 70′ ▲11 7.2 T. Almada ▾ A. Griezmann 78′ ▲5 6.9 J. Cardoso ▾ N. Molina 99′ ▲15 6.7 C. Lenglet ▾ M. Llorente
Coaching staff
Diego Simeone Manager
Bench
13 J. Oblak GK 21 O. Vargas MID 32 J. Bonar DEF 4 R. Mendoza MID 8 P. Barrios MID
Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
68′ ▲4 6.6 J. Gorrotxategi ▾ B. Turrientes 68′ ▲15 6.2 P. Marin ▾ A. Barrenetxea 78′ ▲9 6.3 O. Oskarsson ▾ M. Oyarzabal 78′ ▲3 6.7 A. Munoz ▾ G. Guedes 88′ ▲14 6.3 T. Kubo ▾ S. Gomez 113′ ▲6 6.7 A. Elustondo ▾ J. Aramburu
Coaching staff
Pellegrino Matarazzo Manager
Bench
1 A. Remiro GK 23 B. Mendez MID 38 L. Beitia DEF 12 Y. Herrera MID 22 Wesley FWD
Player rating API-Football
Atletico Madrid
6
Koke C
MID · 120′
8.2
22
Ademola Lookman
MID · 62′ · ⚽1
8
14
Marcos Llorente
MID · 99′
7.9
19
Julián Alvarez
FWD · 120′ · ⚽1
7.9
23
Nicolás González
FWD · 58′ · Substitute
7.3
11
Thiago Almada
MID · 50′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.2
7
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · 70′ · 🅰️1
6.9
5
Johnny Cardoso
MID · 42′ · Substitute
6.9
10
Alejandro Baena
MID · 50′ · Substitute
6.7
15
Clément Lenglet
DEF · 21′ · Substitute
6.7
18
Marc Pubill
DEF · 120′
6.6
20
Giuliano Simeone
MID · 70′
6.5
1
Juan Musso
GK · 120′ · 🟨
6.3
16
Nahuel Molina
DEF · 78′
6.3
24
Robin Le Normand
DEF · 120′ · 🟨
6.3
3
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · 62′
6.3
9
Alexander Sorloth
FWD · 58′ · Substitute
5.3
13
Jan Oblak
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
32
Javier Boñar
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
8
Pablo Barrios
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
21
Obed Vargas
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Real Sociedad
7
Ander Barrenetxea
MID · 68′ · ⚽1
7.3
11
Goncalo Guedes
MID · 78′ · 🅰️1
7.3
10
Mikel Oyarzabal C
FWD · 78′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.2
31
Jon Martin
DEF · 120′
7
24
Luka Sučić
MID · 120′
7
2
Jon Aramburu
DEF · 113′
6.9
16
Duje Caleta-Car
DEF · 120′
6.7
3
Aihen Muñoz
DEF · 42′ · Substitute
6.7
6
Aritz Elustondo
DEF · 8′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
4
Jon Gorrotxategi
MID · 52′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.6
13
Unai Marrero
GK · 120′
6.3
8
Beñat Turrientes
MID · 68′
6.3
9
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
FWD · 42′ · Substitute
6.3
14
Takefusa Kubo
FWD · 32′ · Substitute
6.3
15
Pablo Marín
MID · 52′ · Substitute
6.2
17
Sergio Gómez
DEF · 88′
6
18
Carlos Soler
MID · 120′
5.9
1
Álex Remiro
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
38
Luken Beitia
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
22
Wesley
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
12
Yangel Herrera
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Brais Méndez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Atletico Madrid × Real Sociedad
21% Shot Accuracy
86% Pass Accuracy
63% Possession
Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad
19Shots15
4Shots on Target6
11Shots off Target2
11Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots7
708Passes416
607Accurate Passes315
5Corners6
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper saves2
23Tackles24
10Interceptions7
7Blocks (defensive)3
79Duels Won70
17Fouls17
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
40% Shot Accuracy
76% Pass Accuracy
37% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Atletico Madrid
Koke
3
Marcos Llorente
2
Antoine Griezmann
2
Ademola Lookman
1
Julián Alvarez
1
Nicolás González
1
Real Sociedad
Goncalo Guedes
2
Mikel Oyarzabal
2
Jon Aramburu
1
Takefusa Kubo
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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