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Finished · FA Cup
Derby
1 : 3
Leeds
Pride Park
🏟️ Pride Park Derby
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/01/11 · 12:00
Round
Round of 64
Stadium
Pride Park — Derby
Referee
A. Taylor
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Derby at 40%.
Derby 40% Draw 27% Leeds 33%
Derby 0% Draw 0% Leeds 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Derby 0% Draw 0% Leeds 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Team comparison API-Football
Derby Leeds
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
29%
H2H
0%Strength0%
0%Attacking strength0%
0%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
29%Head-to-head71%
40%Expected goals60%
0%
Team strength
71%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Leeds
Head-to-head Last 9
1Derby win
2Draw
6Leeds win
2024/12/29 Derby 0 : 1 Leeds
2024/12/07 Leeds 2 : 0 Derby
2020/07/19 Derby 1 : 3 Leeds
2019/09/21 Leeds 1 : 1 Derby
2019/05/15 Leeds 2 : 4 Derby
2019/05/11 Derby 0 : 1 Leeds
2019/01/11 Leeds 2 : 0 Derby
2018/08/11 Derby 1 : 4 Leeds
2018/02/21 Derby 2 : 2 Leeds
Key events
🟨Oscar Fraulo
Yellow Card
18'
⚽B. Brereton Diaz
goals
35'
🔄E. Adams⟵O. Fraulo
Substitution
46'
🔄J. Justin⟵S. Bornauw
Substitution
46'
⚽W. GnontoAssists J. Bijol
goals
55'
⚽A. Tanaka
goals
59'
🔄R. Brewster⟵C. Blackett-Taylor
Substitution
63'
🔄D. Ozoh⟵L. Travis
Substitution
63'
🔄P. Agyemang⟵L. Salvesen
Substitution
73'
🔄O. Eames⟵B. Clark
Substitution
73'
🔄S. Longstaff⟵I. Gruev
Substitution
73'
🔄S. Byram⟵W. Gnonto
Substitution
86'
🔄A. Stach⟵J. Piroe
Substitution
89'
🔄B. Aaronson⟵N. Okafor
Substitution
89'
🟨Jack Harrison
Yellow Card
90+2'
⚽J. JustinAssists L. Nmecha
goals
90'
Lineup
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom 6.2
3
C. Forsyth 5.9
4
D. Batth 6.5
6
S. Langas 6.2
23
J. Ward 6.5
11
▾
C. Blackett-Taylor 6.9
27
▾
L. Travis 6.7
29
▾
O. Fraulo 6.7
25
⚽
B. Brereton Diaz 7.2
42
▾
B. Clark 6.9
15
▾
L. Salvesen 6.3
26
K. Darlow 7.3
4
E. Ampadu 7.5
15
J. Bijol 7.2
23
▾
S. Bornauw 6.7
20
J. Harrison 7
44
▾
I. Gruev 6.6
22
⚽
A. Tanaka 7.2
29
⚽ ▾
W. Gnonto 7.9
10
▾
J. Piroe 6
19
▾
N. Okafor 6.3
14
L. Nmecha 6.9
Derby 4-4-1-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲32 6.5 E. Adams ▾ O. Fraulo 63′ ▲10 6.9 R. Brewster ▾ C. Blackett-Taylor 63′ ▲18 6.3 D. Ozoh ▾ L. Travis 73′ ▲7 6.7 P. Agyemang ▾ L. Salvesen 73′ ▲37 6.7 O. Eames ▾ B. Clark
Coaching staff
John Eustace Manager
Bench
12 R. O'Donnell GK 14 A. Weimann FWD 20 C. Elder DEF 35 C. Nelson DEF
Leeds 3-4-1-2
Substitutes
46′ ▲24 7.6 J. Justin ▾ S. Bornauw 73′ ▲8 6.6 S. Longstaff ▾ I. Gruev 86′ ▲25 6.6 S. Byram ▾ W. Gnonto 89′ ▲18 A. Stach ▾ J. Piroe 89′ ▲11 B. Aaronson ▾ N. Okafor
Coaching staff
Daniel Farke Manager
Bench
1 Lucas Perri GK 5 P. Struijk DEF 42 S. Chambers MID 9 D. Calvert-Lewin FWD
Player rating API-Football
Derby
25
Ben Brereton Díaz
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
7.2
11
Corey Blackett-Taylor
MID · 63′
6.9
42
Bobby Clark
FWD · 73′
6.9
10
Rhian Brewster
FWD · 27′ · Substitute
6.9
29
Oscar Fraulo
MID · 45′ · 🟨
6.7
27
Lewis Travis C
MID · 63′
6.7
37
Owen Eames
MID · 17′ · Substitute
6.7
7
Patrick Agyemang
FWD · 17′ · Substitute
6.7
23
Joe Ward
DEF · 90′
6.5
4
Danny Batth
DEF · 90′
6.5
32
Ebou Adams
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.5
15
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
FWD · 73′
6.3
18
David Ozoh
MID · 27′ · Substitute
6.3
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
GK · 90′
6.2
6
Sondre Langås
DEF · 90′
6.2
3
Craig Forsyth
DEF · 90′
5.9
12
Richard O'Donnell
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
35
Curtis Nelson
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Callum Elder
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
14
Andreas Weimann
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Leeds
29
Wilfried Gnonto
MID · 86′ · ⚽1
7.9
24
James Justin
DEF · 45′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.6
4
Ethan Ampadu C
DEF · 90′
7.5
26
Karl Darlow
GK · 90′
7.3
15
Jaka Bijol
DEF · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.2
22
Ao Tanaka
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
7.2
20
Jack Harrison
MID · 90′ · 🟨
7
14
Lukas Nmecha
FWD · 90′ · 🅰️1
6.9
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
DEF · 45′
6.7
44
Ilia Gruev
MID · 73′
6.6
8
Sean Longstaff
MID · 17′ · Substitute
6.6
25
Sam Byram
DEF · 8′ · Substitute
6.6
19
Noah Okafor
FWD · 89′
6.3
10
Joël Piroe
FWD · 89′
6
18
Anton Stach
MID · 1′ · Substitute
—
11
Brenden Aaronson
MID · 1′ · Substitute
—
1
Lucas Perri
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
Pascal Struijk
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
42
Sam Chambers
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Derby × Leeds
29% Shot Accuracy
67% Pass Accuracy
34% Possession
Derby Leeds
0.60Expected Goals (xG)3.12
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
7Shots22
2Shots on Target11
4Shots off Target6
7Shots Inside Box13
0Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots5
262Passes508
175Accurate Passes442
5Corners5
0Offsides3
8Goalkeeper saves1
17Tackles11
5Interceptions8
5Blocks (defensive)1
50Duels Won52
16Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
50% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
66% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Derby
Bobby Clark
3
Joe Ward
2
Craig Forsyth
1
Leeds
Noah Okafor
4
Wilfried Gnonto
3
Ao Tanaka
3
Jack Harrison
2
Sebastiaan Bornauw
1
Jaka Bijol
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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