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Finished · FA Cup
Manchester United
1 : 2
Brighton
Old Trafford
🏟️ Old Trafford Manchester
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/01/11 · 16:30
Round
Round of 64
Stadium
Old Trafford — Manchester
Referee
S. Hooper
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Manchester United at 40%, and the likeliest scorer is D. Gómez (48%).
Manchester United 40% Draw 27% Brighton 33%
Manchester United 0% Draw 0% Brighton 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Manchester United 0% Draw 0% Brighton 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
D. Gómez
✈️ Brighton
48%
S. Tzimas
✈️ Brighton
31%
Team comparison API-Football
Manchester United Brighton
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
40%
H2H
0%Strength0%
0%Attacking strength0%
0%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
40%Head-to-head60%
47%Expected goals53%
0%
Team strength
60%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Brighton
Head-to-head Last 8
2Manchester United win
1Draw
5Brighton win
2025/10/25 Manchester United 4 : 2 Brighton
2025/01/19 Manchester United 1 : 3 Brighton
2024/08/24 Brighton 2 : 1 Manchester United
2024/05/19 Brighton 0 : 2 Manchester United
2023/09/16 Manchester United 1 : 3 Brighton
2023/05/04 Brighton 1 : 0 Manchester United
2023/04/23 Brighton 0 : 0 Manchester United
2022/08/07 Manchester United 1 : 2 Brighton
Key events
⚽B. Gruda
goals
12'
🟨Kobbie Mainoo
Yellow Card
60'
🔄S. Lacey⟵M. Mount
Substitution
62'
🔄J. Zirkzee⟵K. Mainoo
Substitution
62'
⚽D. WelbeckAssists B. Gruda
goals
64'
🔄J. P. van Hecke⟵D. Gomez
Substitution
77'
🔄Y. Ayari⟵J. Veltman
Substitution
77'
🔄K. Mitoma⟵D. Welbeck
Substitution
78'
🔄H. Maguire⟵L. Martinez
Substitution
79'
🔄Casemiro⟵M. Ugarte
Substitution
79'
🔄C. Kostoulas⟵G. Rutter
Substitution
83'
⚽B. SeskoAssists B. Fernandes
goals
85'
🟨Shea Lacey
Yellow Card
87'
🟨Shea Lacey
Yellow Card
89'
🟥Shea Lacey
Red Card
89'
🟨Harry Maguire
Yellow Card
90+3'
🟨Charalampos Kostoulas
Yellow Card
90+3'
🔄T. Watson⟵B. Gruda
Substitution
90+2'
Lineup
31
S. Lammens 6.5
13
P. Dorgu 6.9
6
▾
L. Martinez 7.6
15
L. Yoro 6.3
2
D. Dalot 6.7
37
▾
K. Mainoo 6.6
25
▾
M. Ugarte 7.3
10
M. Cunha 6.3
8
B. Fernandes 7.3
7
▾
M. Mount 6.3
30
⚽
B. Sesko 7.3
23
J. Steele 8.9
24
F. Kadioglu 7.2
21
O. Boscagli 6.9
42
D. Coppola 6.7
34
▾
J. Veltman 7.2
30
P. Gross 7.3
13
J. Hinshelwood 6.3
25
▾
D. Gomez 6.2
10
▾
G. Rutter 6.3
8
⚽ ▾
B. Gruda 8.2
18
⚽ ▾
D. Welbeck 8
Manchester United 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
62′ ▲61 6 S. Lacey ▾ M. Mount 62′ ▲11 7 J. Zirkzee ▾ K. Mainoo 79′ ▲5 6.6 H. Maguire ▾ L. Martinez 79′ ▲18 7 Casemiro ▾ M. Ugarte
Coaching staff
Michael Carrick Manager
Bench
1 A. Bayindir GK 26 A. Heaven DEF 12 T. Malacia DEF 38 J. Fletcher MID 39 T. Fletcher MID
Brighton 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
77′ ▲6 6.7 J. P. van Hecke ▾ D. Gomez 77′ ▲26 6.3 Y. Ayari ▾ J. Veltman 78′ ▲22 6.3 K. Mitoma ▾ D. Welbeck 83′ ▲19 6.7 C. Kostoulas ▾ G. Rutter 90′ ▲14 T. Watson ▾ B. Gruda
Coaching staff
Fabian Hurzeler Manager
Bench
1 B. Verbruggen GK 5 L. Dunk DEF 51 C. Tasker DEF 53 H. Howell MID
Player rating API-Football
Manchester United
6
Lisandro Martínez
DEF · 79′
7.6
25
Manuel Ugarte
MID · 79′
7.3
8
Bruno Fernandes C
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.3
30
Benjamin Šeško
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.3
11
Joshua Zirkzee
FWD · 28′ · Substitute
7
18
Casemiro
MID · 11′ · Substitute
7
13
Patrick Dorgu
DEF · 90′
6.9
2
Diogo Dalot
DEF · 90′
6.7
37
Kobbie Mainoo
MID · 62′ · 🟨
6.6
5
Harry Maguire
DEF · 11′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.6
31
Senne Lammens
GK · 90′
6.5
15
Leny Yoro
DEF · 90′
6.3
7
Mason Mount
MID · 62′
6.3
10
Matheus Cunha
MID · 90′
6.3
61
Shea Lacey
FWD · 27′ · 🟨 🟥 · Substitute
6
1
Altay Bayındır
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
12
Tyrell Malacia
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
Ayden Heaven
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
38
Jack Fletcher
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
39
Tyler Fletcher
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Brighton
23
Jason Steele
GK · 90′
8.9
8
Brajan Gruda
MID · 89′ · ⚽1 · 🅰️1
8.2
18
Danny Welbeck C
FWD · 78′ · ⚽1
8
30
Pascal Groß
MID · 90′
7.3
34
Joël Veltman
DEF · 77′
7.2
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
DEF · 90′
7.2
21
Olivier Boscagli
DEF · 90′
6.9
42
Diego Coppola
DEF · 90′
6.7
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
DEF · 13′ · Substitute
6.7
19
Charalampos Kostoulas
FWD · 13′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
13
Jack Hinshelwood
MID · 90′
6.3
10
Georginio Rutter
MID · 83′
6.3
26
Yasin Ayari
MID · 13′ · Substitute
6.3
22
Kaoru Mitoma
MID · 12′ · Substitute
6.3
25
Diego Gómez
MID · 77′
6.2
14
Tom Watson
FWD · 1′ · Substitute
—
1
Bart Verbruggen
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
Lewis Dunk
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
51
Charlie Tasker
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
53
Harry Howell
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Manchester United × Brighton
42% Shot Accuracy
85% Pass Accuracy
60% Possession
Manchester United Brighton
1.73Expected Goals (xG)1.59
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
19Shots13
8Shots on Target4
8Shots off Target5
13Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
524Passes361
445Accurate Passes294
6Corners1
5Offsides4
1Goalkeeper saves7
23Tackles22
9Interceptions8
3Blocks (defensive)3
55Duels Won48
11Fouls15
4Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
31% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
40% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Manchester United
Bruno Fernandes
5
Kobbie Mainoo
3
Matheus Cunha
2
Lisandro Martínez
1
Patrick Dorgu
1
Shea Lacey
1
Brighton
Brajan Gruda
5
Joël Veltman
1
Georginio Rutter
1
Danny Welbeck
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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