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Finished · FA Cup
Aston Villa
1 : 3
Newcastle
Villa Park
🏟️ Villa Park Birmingham
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/02/14 · 17:45
Round
Round of 32
Stadium
Villa Park — Birmingham
Referee
C. Kavanagh
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Aston Villa at 40%, and the likeliest scorer is H. Barnes (42%).
Aston Villa 40% Draw 27% Newcastle 33%
Aston Villa 0% Draw 0% Newcastle 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Aston Villa 0% Draw 0% Newcastle 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
H. Barnes
✈️ Newcastle
42%
Joelinton
✈️ Newcastle
31%
J. McGinn
🏠 Aston Villa
24%
O. Watkins
🏠 Aston Villa
19%
Team comparison API-Football
Aston Villa Newcastle
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
50%
H2H
50%Strength50%
33%Attacking strength67%
75%Defensive strength25%
0%Poisson distribution0%
50%Head-to-head50%
50%Expected goals50%
50%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Aston Villa or draw and +2.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 9
3Aston Villa win
2Draw
4Newcastle win
2026/01/25 Newcastle 0 : 2 Aston Villa
2025/08/16 Aston Villa 0 : 0 Newcastle
2025/04/19 Aston Villa 4 : 1 Newcastle
2024/12/26 Newcastle 3 : 0 Aston Villa
2024/01/30 Aston Villa 1 : 3 Newcastle
2023/08/12 Newcastle 5 : 1 Aston Villa
2023/07/23 Newcastle 3 : 3 Aston Villa
2023/04/15 Aston Villa 3 : 0 Newcastle
2022/10/29 Newcastle 4 : 0 Aston Villa
Key events
🟨Douglas Luiz
Yellow Card
4'
⚽T. AbrahamAssists Douglas Luiz
goals
14'
🟨Malick Thiaw
Yellow Card
25'
🟨Lucas Digne
Yellow Card
42'
🟥Marco Bizot
Red Card
45+1'
🔄E. Martinez⟵L. Bailey
Substitution
45+4'
🟨Harvey Barnes
Yellow Card
52'
🟨Jacob Ramsey
Yellow Card
55'
🔄A. Gordon⟵W. Osula
Substitution
63'
🔄A. Elanga⟵J. Murphy
Substitution
63'
⚽S. Tonali
goals
63'
🔄E. Buendia⟵R. Barkley
Substitution
65'
🔄O. Watkins⟵T. Abraham
Substitution
65'
⚽S. TonaliAssists D. Burn
goals
76'
🔄I. Maatsen⟵M. Rogers
Substitution
77'
🔄J. Sancho⟵Douglas Luiz
Substitution
78'
🔄J. Willock⟵J. Ramsey
Substitution
80'
⚽N. Woltemade
goals
88'
🔄A. Murphy⟵K. Trippier
Substitution
90'
Lineup
40
M. Bizot 5.3
12
L. Digne 6
14
P. Torres 6.3
3
V. Lindelof 6.7
26
L. Bogarde 5.9
21
▾
Douglas Luiz 7
24
A. Onana 7.5
27
▾
M. Rogers 6.5
6
▾
R. Barkley 6.7
31
▾
L. Bailey 6.3
18
⚽ ▾
T. Abraham 7.9
32
A. Ramsdale 6.7
3
L. Hall 6.9
33
D. Burn 7
12
M. Thiaw 7.9
2
▾
K. Trippier 7.3
8
⚽2
S. Tonali 9
41
▾
J. Ramsey 6.2
11
H. Barnes 6.5
27
⚽
N. Woltemade 7.5
23
▾
J. Murphy 6.3
18
▾
W. Osula 6.2
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
45′ ▲23 6.5 E. Martinez ▾ L. Bailey 65′ ▲10 6.7 E. Buendia ▾ R. Barkley 65′ ▲11 6.2 O. Watkins ▾ T. Abraham 77′ ▲22 6 I. Maatsen ▾ M. Rogers 78′ ▲19 6.7 J. Sancho ▾ Douglas Luiz
Coaching staff
Unai Emery Manager
Bench
4 E. Konsa DEF 5 T. Mings DEF 16 A. Garcia DEF 79 M. Kone
Newcastle 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
63′ ▲10 6.6 A. Gordon ▾ W. Osula 63′ ▲20 6.6 A. Elanga ▾ J. Murphy 80′ ▲28 6.2 J. Willock ▾ J. Ramsey 90′ ▲37 A. Murphy ▾ K. Trippier
Coaching staff
Eddie Howe Manager
Bench
1 N. Pope GK 26 J. Ruddy GK 61 L. Shahar DEF 62 S. Neave FWD 64 Park Seung-soo FWD
Player rating API-Football
Aston Villa
18
Tammy Abraham
FWD · 65′ · ⚽1
7.9
24
Amadou Onana
MID · 90′
7.5
21
Douglas Luiz
MID · 78′ · 🅰️1 · 🟨
7
3
Victor Lindelöf
DEF · 90′
6.7
6
Ross Barkley
MID · 65′
6.7
10
Emiliano Buendía
MID · 25′ · Substitute
6.7
19
Jadon Sancho
FWD · 12′ · Substitute
6.7
27
Morgan Rogers
MID · 77′
6.5
23
Emiliano Martínez
GK · 46′ · Substitute
6.5
14
Pau Torres
DEF · 90′
6.3
31
Leon Bailey
MID · 44′
6.3
11
Ollie Watkins
FWD · 25′ · Substitute
6.2
12
Lucas Digne C
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6
22
Ian Maatsen
DEF · 13′ · Substitute
6
26
Lamare Bogarde
DEF · 90′
5.9
40
Marco Bizot
GK · 46′ 🟥
5.3
4
Ezri Konsa
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
Tyrone Mings
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
16
Andrés García
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
79
Mohamed Koné
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Newcastle
8
Sandro Tonali
MID · 90′ · ⚽2
9
12
Malick Thiaw
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
7.9
27
Nick Woltemade
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
7.5
2
Kieran Trippier C
DEF · 89′
7.3
33
Dan Burn
DEF · 90′ · 🅰️1
7
3
Lewis Hall
DEF · 90′
6.9
32
Aaron Ramsdale
GK · 90′
6.7
20
Anthony Elanga
FWD · 27′ · Substitute
6.6
10
Anthony Gordon
FWD · 27′ · Substitute
6.6
11
Harvey Barnes
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.5
23
Jacob Murphy
MID · 63′
6.3
41
Jacob Ramsey
MID · 80′ · 🟨
6.2
18
William Osula
FWD · 63′
6.2
28
Joe Willock
MID · 10′ · Substitute
6.2
37
Alex Murphy
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
—
1
Nick Pope
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
John Ruddy
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
61
Leo Shahar
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
64
Park Seung-soo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
62
Sean Neave
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Aston Villa × Newcastle
25% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
43% Possession
Aston Villa Newcastle
0.97Expected Goals (xG)0.96
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
8Shots12
2Shots on Target3
3Shots off Target5
6Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
362Passes476
294Accurate Passes406
6Corners5
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper saves1
20Tackles17
11Interceptions5
4Blocks (defensive)3
54Duels Won49
11Fouls10
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
25% Shot Accuracy
85% Pass Accuracy
57% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Aston Villa
Lucas Digne
4
Douglas Luiz
1
Leon Bailey
1
Tammy Abraham
1
Ian Maatsen
1
Newcastle
Kieran Trippier
3
Dan Burn
1
Lewis Hall
1
William Osula
1
Anthony Elanga
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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