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Finished · FA Cup
Newcastle
1 : 3
Manchester City
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/03/07 · 20:00
Round
Round of 16
Stadium
— Newcastle
Referee
S. Barrott
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Newcastle at 40%, and the likeliest scorer is H. Barnes (48%).
Newcastle 40% Draw 27% Manchester City 33%
Newcastle 0% Draw 0% Manchester City 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Newcastle 0% Draw 0% Manchester City 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
H. Barnes
🏠 Newcastle
48%
Joelinton
🏠 Newcastle
35%
R. Cherki
✈️ Manchester City
34%
E. Haaland
✈️ Manchester City
34%
A. Semenyo
✈️ Manchester City
28%
N. O'Reilly
✈️ Manchester City
24%
Team comparison API-Football
Newcastle Manchester City
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
20%
H2H
50%Strength50%
37%Attacking strength63%
20%Defensive strength80%
0%Poisson distribution0%
20%Head-to-head80%
25%Expected goals75%
50%
Team strength
80%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 9
2Newcastle win
1Draw
6Manchester City win
2026/02/21 Manchester City 2 : 1 Newcastle
2026/02/04 Manchester City 3 : 1 Newcastle
2026/01/13 Newcastle 0 : 2 Manchester City
2025/11/22 Newcastle 2 : 1 Manchester City
2025/02/15 Manchester City 4 : 0 Newcastle
2024/09/28 Newcastle 1 : 1 Manchester City
2024/03/16 Manchester City 2 : 0 Newcastle
2024/01/13 Newcastle 2 : 3 Manchester City
2023/09/27 Newcastle 1 : 0 Manchester City
Key events
⚽H. BarnesAssists S. Tonali
goals
18'
⚽SavinhoAssists J. Doku
goals
39'
⚽O. MarmoushAssists M. Nunes
goals
47'
🔄Joelinton⟵A. Elanga
Substitution
62'
🔄D. Burn⟵K. Trippier
Substitution
63'
🔄Y. Wissa⟵W. Osula
Substitution
63'
⚽O. MarmoushAssists M. Nunes
goals
65'
🔄A. Gordon⟵N. Woltemade
Substitution
72'
🔄A. Semenyo⟵O. Marmoush
Substitution
73'
🟨Joelinton
Yellow Card
78'
🔄P. Foden⟵J. Doku
Substitution
79'
🔄R. Cherki⟵Savinho
Substitution
79'
🔄V. Livramento⟵L. Hall
Substitution
80'
🟨Yoane Wissa
Yellow Card
90'
Lineup
32
A. Ramsdale 7.2
3
▾
L. Hall 6.7
4
S. Botman 5.9
12
M. Thiaw 6.5
2
▾
K. Trippier 6.3
28
J. Willock 6.7
8
S. Tonali 7
11
⚽
H. Barnes 7.6
27
▾
N. Woltemade 6.2
20
▾
A. Elanga 6.7
18
▾
W. Osula 6.6
1
J. Trafford 6.3
6
N. Ake 6.6
45
A. Khusanov 7.9
5
J. Stones 7.2
27
M. Nunes 6.9
33
N. O'Reilly 6.2
14
Nico 7.6
11
▾
J. Doku 6.9
4
T. Reijnders 6.3
26
⚽ ▾
Savinho 7.3
7
⚽2 ▾
O. Marmoush 8.9
Newcastle 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
62′ ▲7 6.5 Joelinton ▾ A. Elanga 63′ ▲33 6.3 D. Burn ▾ K. Trippier 63′ ▲9 6.3 Y. Wissa ▾ W. Osula 72′ ▲10 6.6 A. Gordon ▾ N. Woltemade 80′ ▲21 6.9 V. Livramento ▾ L. Hall
Coaching staff
Eddie Howe Manager
Bench
1 N. Pope GK 23 J. Murphy MID 37 A. Murphy DEF 62 S. Neave FWD
Manchester City 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
73′ ▲42 6.7 A. Semenyo ▾ O. Marmoush 79′ ▲47 6.5 P. Foden ▾ J. Doku 79′ ▲10 6.7 R. Cherki ▾ Savinho
Coaching staff
Pep Guardiola Manager
Bench
25 G. Donnarumma GK 3 R. Dias DEF 16 Rodri MID 21 R. Ait-Nouri DEF 20 B. Silva MID 15 M. Guehi DEF
Player rating API-Football
Newcastle
11
Harvey Barnes
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
7.6
32
Aaron Ramsdale
GK · 90′
7.2
8
Sandro Tonali
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
7
21
Valentino Livramento
DEF · 10′ · Substitute
6.9
3
Lewis Hall
DEF · 80′
6.7
28
Joe Willock
MID · 90′
6.7
20
Anthony Elanga
MID · 62′
6.7
18
William Osula
FWD · 63′
6.6
10
Anthony Gordon
FWD · 18′ · Substitute
6.6
12
Malick Thiaw
DEF · 90′
6.5
7
Joelinton
MID · 28′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.5
2
Kieran Trippier C
DEF · 63′
6.3
33
Dan Burn
DEF · 27′ · Substitute
6.3
9
Yoane Wissa
FWD · 27′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.3
27
Nick Woltemade
MID · 72′
6.2
4
Sven Botman
DEF · 90′
5.9
1
Nick Pope
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
37
Alex Murphy
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
62
Sean Neave
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Jacob Murphy
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Manchester City
7
Omar Marmoush
FWD · 73′ · ⚽2
8.9
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
DEF · 90′
7.9
14
Nico González
MID · 90′
7.6
26
Savinho
MID · 79′ · ⚽1
7.3
5
John Stones C
DEF · 90′
7.2
27
Matheus Nunes
DEF · 90′ · 🅰️1
6.9
11
Jérémy Doku
MID · 79′ · 🅰️1
6.9
42
Antoine Semenyo
FWD · 17′ · Substitute
6.7
10
Rayan Cherki
MID · 11′ · Substitute
6.7
6
Nathan Aké
DEF · 90′
6.6
47
Phil Foden
MID · 11′ · Substitute
6.5
1
James Trafford
GK · 90′
6.3
4
Tijjani Reijnders
MID · 90′
6.3
33
Nico O'Reilly
MID · 90′
6.2
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
3
Rúben Dias
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
15
Marc Guéhi
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
21
Rayan Aït-Nouri
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
16
Rodri
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Bernardo Silva
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Newcastle × Manchester City
36% Shot Accuracy
73% Pass Accuracy
37% Possession
Newcastle Manchester City
1.31Expected Goals (xG)2.91
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
11Shots21
4Shots on Target8
5Shots off Target7
6Shots Inside Box18
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots6
303Passes521
222Accurate Passes455
3Corners9
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper saves2
16Tackles10
9Interceptions7
5Blocks (defensive)3
47Duels Won46
12Fouls16
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
38% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
63% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Newcastle
Sandro Tonali
2
William Osula
2
Sven Botman
1
Harvey Barnes
1
Manchester City
Jérémy Doku
4
Matheus Nunes
3
Savinho
2
Tijjani Reijnders
2
Omar Marmoush
1
Rayan Cherki
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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